Methodology

How every score is computed.

We publish a methodology for every metric on CryptoArrow. No black boxes. If you can't trace a number back to the inputs and the formula on these pages, we shouldn't be showing it to you.

Regime Fit Score

The single 0 to 100 number that quantifies how aligned your portfolio is with the current macro regime and narrative rotation.

Narrative Maturity Score

Where each of the 10 sectors sits on its adoption curve (Dormant → Awakening → Building → Mainstream → Cooling).

Regime detection

How we classify the current macro regime as Early Recovery, Markup, Distribution, Markdown, or Unclear.

Sector scoring

The momentum formula behind every sector heat score on the Narratives page and dashboard.

Stress tests

The beta-weighted scenario math behind portfolio impact estimates for BTC -30%, -50%, and broad-market crashes.

Crypto Arrow LLC. Descriptive analytics. Not investment advice.
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